Monthly Portfolio Update – June 2021

Day by day, what you choose, what you think and what you do is who you become.

Heraclitus

This is my fifty-fifth monthly portfolio update. I complete this regular update to check progress against my goal.

Portfolio goal

My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2,585,000 by 31 July 2022. This would produce a real annual income of about $90,500 (in 2021 dollars).

This portfolio objective is based on an assumed safe withdrawal rate of 3.5 per cent.

Portfolio summary

Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund$861,242
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund$46,541
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund$83,858
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund$100,821
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS)$339,296
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS)$185,504
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200)$288,586
Telstra shares (TLS)$2,004
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG)$6,537
NIB Holdings shares (NHF)$7,812
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX)$106,302
Secured physical gold$16,991
Plenti (P2P lending)$3,076
Bitcoin$518,680
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio)$21,032
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio)$3,409
BrickX (P2P rental real estate)$4,552
Total portfolio value$2,596,243
(+$63,666)

Asset allocation

Australian shares38.7%
Global shares22.7%
Emerging market shares1.8%
International small companies2.3%
Total international shares26.8%
Total shares65.5% (-9.5%)
Total property securities0.2% (+0.2%)
Australian bonds3.0%
International bonds6.5%
Total bonds9.5% (-5.5%)
Gold4.7%
Bitcoin20.0%
Gold and alternatives24.7% (+14.7%)

Presented visually, the chart below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.

Comments

The portfolio has gained around $63,000 over this past month. This has meant a partial recovery from the steep falls experienced last month.

All elements of the portfolio contributed to this return to growth, except for a small fall in the value of gold holdings.

Over the month the portfolio has increased by a total of 2.5 per cent. This growth means that the portfolio is once again operating just above the final portfolio goal, following it first reaching that level in late December 2020, and spending some time above it through the early part of this year.

Once again the equity component of the portfolio grew this month, increasing by around $60,000. This pushed forward the equity portfolio to two significant milestones.

First, the Australian equity portfolio has broken the $1,000,000 mark. By way of comparison, Australian equities represented $280,000 at the beginning of this record in early 2017.

Second, the total equity portfolio – including global equities – has now reached $1.7 million, or 88 per cent of the intended target allocation (of $1.9 million, or around 75 per cent of the total portfolio goal).

The value of Australian equities grew by around 2.0 per cent, and the value of international shares increased by around 4.3 per cent over the month.

Continue reading “Monthly Portfolio Update – June 2021”

Monthly Portfolio Update – May 2021

Ithaka gave you the marvellous journey.

Without her you wouldn’t have set out.

She has nothing left to give you now.

Constantine P. Cavafy, Ithaka

This is my fifty-fourth monthly portfolio update. I complete this regular update to check progress against my goal.

Portfolio goal

My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2,585,000 by 31 July 2022. This would produce a real annual income of about $90,500 (in 2021 dollars).

This portfolio objective is based on an assumed safe withdrawal rate of 3.5 per cent.

Portfolio summary

Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund$839,560
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund$45,574
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund$82,491
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund$100,344
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS)$321,955
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS)$167,542
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200)$282,670
Telstra shares (TLS)$1,876
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG)$6,360
NIB Holdings shares (NHF)$7,548
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX)$112,037
Secured physical gold$17,913
Plenti (P2P lending)$3,501
Bitcoin$514,720
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio)$20,647
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio)$3,293
BrickX (P2P rental real estate)$4,546
Total portfolio value$2,532,577
(-$210,597)

Asset allocation

Australian shares38.4%
Global shares22.2%
Emerging market shares1.8%
International small companies2.3%
Total international shares26.3%
Total shares64.7% (-10.3%)
Total property securities0.2% (+0.2%)
Australian bonds3.0%
International bonds6.6%
Total bonds9.6% (-5.4%)
Gold5.1%
Bitcoin20.3%
Gold and alternatives25.5% (+15.5%)

Presented visually, the chart below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.

Pie Chart Asset Allocation

Comments

The portfolio has fallen by over $210,000 this month, experiencing the first negative result in seven months.

This was caused by the value of Bitcoin holdings falling by over a third on a monthly basis, and even further from their highest levels in mid-April.

This dramatic fall outweighed positive movement in other elements of the portfolio. The result of this is that the portfolio has reduced by 7.7 per cent, and moved to just under the portfolio target objective. Due to the rapid way the target was achieved, this reversal was always a possibility.

Monthly Portfolio Value

Excluding the price volatility of Bitcoin, the rest of the portfolio actually grew by around $51,000. This took the total equity holdings to 84 per cent of the final equity target, up two per cent over the month.

The value of Australian equities grew by around 2.7 per cent, and the value of international shares increased by around 1.7 per cent over the month.

Continue reading “Monthly Portfolio Update – May 2021”

Monthly Portfolio Update – April 2021

So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.

F. Scott Fitzgerald, The Great Gatsby

This is my fifty-third monthly portfolio update. I complete this regular update to check progress against my goal.

Portfolio goal

My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2,585,000 by 31 July 2022. This would produce a real annual income of about $90,500 (in 2021 dollars).

This portfolio objective is based on an assumed safe withdrawal rate of 3.5 per cent.

Portfolio summary

Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund$829,649
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund$45,135
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund$81,870
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund$100,139
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS)$307,826
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS)$158,831
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200)$275,311
Telstra shares (TLS)$1,801
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG)$6,208
NIB Holdings shares (NHF)$7,392
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX)$103,197
Secured physical gold$16,581
Plenti (P2P lending)$4,411
Bitcoin$776,690
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio)$20,326
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio)$3,267
BrickX (P2P rental real estate)$4,540
Total portfolio value$2,743,174
(+$2,449)

Asset allocation

Australian shares34.5%
Global shares20.0%
Emerging market shares1.7%
International small companies2.1%
Total international shares23.8%
Total shares58.3% (-16.7%)
Total property securities0.2% (+0.2%)
Australian bonds2.8%
International bonds6.1%
Total bonds8.9% (-6.1%)
Gold4.4%
Bitcoin28.3%
Gold and alternatives32.7% (+22.7%)

Presented visually, the chart below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.

Pie chart of asset allocation

Comments

After the most sustained, as well as the largest, expansion in its history the portfolio has recorded a small increase over the last month.

The muted final outcome was the result of a significant correction in the price of Bitcoin, which has fallen substantially since the middle of the month, after it briefly reached all time heights.

Overall the portfolio advanced just over $2,000, despite a fall of around $70,000 in the value of Bitcoin holdings. Just as last month where the contingent nature of the achievement was discussed, this leaves the total portfolio slightly above the portfolio goal.

Monthly Portfolio Value - 2017-2021

The slight growth in the portfolio was largely due to other portfolio assets moving in the other direction, off-setting the substantial Bitcoin reductions.

Australian equities grew by around 2.0 per cent, and the value of international shares also advanced around 2.7 per cent over the month. Gold reversed its three consecutive months of decline with around a 2.8 per cent gain.

Continue reading “Monthly Portfolio Update – April 2021”

Monthly Portfolio Update – March 2021

The Athenians preserved the boat—a thirty-oared ship—on which Theseus sailed with his companions and came back safely until the time of Demetrius of Phalerus, changing out the older wood and replacing it with strong, new parts until the ship became a famous example to philosophers of the problem of growth. Some say that it remained the same ship, others claim it did not.

Plutarch, Life of Theseus, XXIII.i

This is my fifty-second monthly portfolio update. I complete this regular update to check progress against my goal.

Portfolio goal

My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2,585,000 by 31 July 2022. This would produce a real annual income of about $90,500 (in 2021 dollars).

This portfolio objective is based on an assumed safe withdrawal rate of 3.5 per cent.

Portfolio summary

Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund$798,662
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund$43,783
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund$80,032
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund$104,634
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS)$301,213
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS)$131,409
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200)$270,303
Telstra shares (TLS)$1,812
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG)$5,929
NIB Holdings shares (NHF)$6,276
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX)$100,378
Secured physical gold$16,153
Plenti (P2P lending)$4,565
Bitcoin$848,070
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio)$19,793
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio)$3,180
BrickX (P2P rental real estate)$4,533
Total portfolio value$2,740,725
(+$251,033)

Asset allocation

Australian shares33.6%
Global shares18.5%
Emerging market shares1.6%
International small companies2.0%
Total international shares22.1%
Total shares55.7% (-19.3%)
Total property securities0.2% (+0.2%)
Australian bonds2.8%
International bonds6.1%
Total bonds8.9% (-6.1%)
Gold4.3%
Bitcoin30.9%
Gold and alternatives35.2% (+25.2%)

Presented visually, the chart below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.

Chart - Current Asset Allocation

Comments

This month has seen a continued appreciation of Bitcoin dominating virtually all other portfolio developments, a trend that has been firmly in place since October of last year.

The value of Bitcoin holdings rising by $197,000 has pushed the portfolio above the financial independence target goal set three just months ago. In short, this has delivered an outcome in March that was intended to be only reached at the end July of next year. So the portfolio goal has been passed. Yet the gain underpinning this achievement is contingent and highly provisional.

Bitcoin’s value in the portfolio rose by another 30 per cent across the month, being the major contributor to the overall portfolio growing by $251,000. This is both the largest ever monthly change, and growth, of the entire journey.

Chart - Monthly Portfolio Value

The performance of other assets was modest in scale by comparison. Equities moved ahead this month, with global shares (5.8 per cent) performing slightly better than Australian equities (3.2 per cent). Both gold and bonds slightly decreased in value.

Continue reading “Monthly Portfolio Update – March 2021”